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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1525

Elo1425

Chase HoopervsFelipe ColaresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · Saturday, May 21, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:00

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Chase Hooper has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Felipe Colares

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1525

Elo

1425

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'8"

187.96 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Felipe Colares

oldest →

vs Geraldo de Freitas · Feb 19

vs Domingo Pilarte · Jul 19

vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20

vs Luke Sanders · May 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricFelipe Colares

4.50

Strikes / min

2.17

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.65

39%

Strike defense

36%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

1.88

55%

Takedown defense

43%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap-2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperFelipe Colares

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +99.3|Blue -99.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +119.0|Blue -119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetFelipe Colares

By target zone

65% acc · 95%

Head

88% acc · 67%

60% acc · 5%

Body

100% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

39% acc · 18%

Distance

90% acc · 43%

56% acc · 17%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

83% acc · 65%

Ground

92% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Felipe Colares rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control3:02

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 2Felipe Colares edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control1:32

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:55Control

Round 3Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns2

Control2:30

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 93

Sig Strikes

21 / 23

60.7%

Sig Str %

85.7%

140 / 188

Total Strikes

43 / 46

4 / 7

TDs

2 / 4

58%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

7:04

Ctrl Time

4:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Felipe Colares	11 / 12	23 / 24	2 / 2	0
1	Chase Hooper	26 / 42	54 / 72	2 / 4	1
2	Felipe Colares	8 / 8	18 / 19	0 / 2	0
2	Chase Hooper	6 / 12	20 / 32	0 / 0	1
3	Felipe Colares	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0	0
3	Chase Hooper	28 / 39	66 / 84	2 / 3	1

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Felipe Colares

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6