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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1525

Elo1492

Chase HoopervsDaniel TeymurUFC Prediction Result

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Saturday, December 14, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:34

Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsDaniel Teymur: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(72.5%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Daniel Teymur has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Daniel Teymur has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Chase Hooper has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Daniel Teymur

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1525

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'5"

187.96 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Daniel Teymur

oldest →

vs Danny Henry · Jul 17

SUBvs Julio Arce · Jun 18

SUBvs Chris Fishgold · Feb 19

vs Sung Bin Jo · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricDaniel Teymur

4.50

Strikes / min

3.08

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

39%

Strike defense

56%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

0.56

55%

Takedown defense

60%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chase HooperDaniel Teymur

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Daniel Teymur(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.9|Blue -32.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +47.4|Blue -47.4

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetDaniel Teymur

By target zone

53% acc · 85%

Head

33% acc · 100%

67% acc · 10%

Body

100% acc · 5%

Leg

By position

75% acc · 15%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

52% acc · 80%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Daniel Teymur rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control3:13

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 36

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

55%

Sig Str %

33%

37 / 70

Total Strikes

2 / 6

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:13

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Daniel Teymur	2 / 6	2 / 6	0 / 0	1
1	Chase Hooper	20 / 36	37 / 70	1 / 3	2

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Daniel Teymur

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5