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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Galore Bofando won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1361
Elo1491

Charlie WardvsGalore BofandoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Sunday, July 16, 2017Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Galore Bofando won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:10

Model Prediction: Charlie Ward wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Galore Bofando wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charlie Ward at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Galore Bofando is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charlie Ward has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Galore Bofando has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Galore Bofando (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Charlie Ward
Red Corner
VS
Galore Bofando
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
1361
Elo
1491
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charlie Ward
oldest →
L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Nov 16
latest
Galore Bofando
oldest →
L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charlie WardMetricGalore Bofando
1.64
Strikes / min
3.63
7.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
53%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.37
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-5.57Δ 5.57 — meaningful gap0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes2.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Charlie WardGalore Bofando

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Charlie Ward(2 fights)Galore Bofando(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -129.9|Blue +129.9
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charlie WardTargetGalore Bofando

By target zone

2
22% acc · 67%
Head
6
33% acc · 60%
1
50% acc · 33%
Body
2
50% acc · 20%
0
0% acc
Leg
2
67% acc · 20%

By position

3
33% acc · 100%
Distance
8
38% acc · 80%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0
Ground
2
50% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Charlie Ward rounds
0
even
1
Galore Bofando rounds
Round 1Galore Bofando edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:08
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 12
Sig Strikes
10 / 25
25%
Sig Str %
40%
4 / 13
Total Strikes
10 / 25
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 1
0%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Galore Bofando10 / 2510 / 251 / 10
1Charlie Ward3 / 124 / 130 / 10

Charlie Ward

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2

Galore Bofando

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2