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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Abdul Razak Alhassan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1361

Elo1491

Charlie WardvsAbdul Razak AlhassanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Abdul Razak Alhassan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:53

Model Prediction: Charlie Ward wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charlie Ward at +270 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charlie Ward has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Abdul Razak Alhassan has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Charlie Ward

Red Corner

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Blue Corner

+270

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-330

(77%)

1361

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charlie Ward

oldest →

KOvs Galore Bofando · Jul 17

latest

Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21

vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22

KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23

SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23

KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charlie WardMetricAbdul Razak Alhassan

1.64

Strikes / min

3.64

7.21

Strikes absorbed / min

4.01

53%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.84

Takedown defense

51%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-5.57Δ 5.20 — meaningful gap-0.37

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charlie Ward(2 fights)Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -130.1|Blue +130.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charlie WardTargetAbdul Razak Alhassan

By target zone

14% acc · 100%

Head

55% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

8% acc · 50%

Distance

44% acc · 58%

100% acc · 50%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

Ground

75% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charlie Ward rounds

even

Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds

Round 1Abdul Razak Alhassan edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

3Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 14

Sig Strikes

12 / 22

14%

Sig Str %

54%

2 / 15

Total Strikes

12 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Abdul Razak Alhassan	12 / 22	12 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Charlie Ward	2 / 14	2 / 15	0 / 0	0

Charlie Ward

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13