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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · SUB R1

Elo1354

Elo1480

Charlie BrennemanvsBeneil DariushUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:45

Style matchupCharlie Brenneman: WrestlervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charlie Brenneman at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Beneil Dariush has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Charlie Brenneman

Red Corner

Beneil Dariush

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1354

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charlie BrennemanL4 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Roberts · Jan 12

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12

KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12

KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14

SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14

latest

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charlie BrennemanMetricBeneil Dariush

1.52

Strikes / min

3.74

1.55

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

46%

Strike defense

57%

4.23

TDs / 15 min

2.21

72%

Takedown defense

82%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charlie BrennemanBeneil Dariush

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -126.6|Blue +126.6

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -48.7|Blue +48.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charlie BrennemanTargetBeneil Dariush

By target zone

33% acc · 40%

Head

47% acc · 89%

100% acc · 40%

Body

25% acc · 11%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

40% acc · 40%

Distance

17% acc · 22%

75% acc · 60%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

75% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charlie Brenneman rounds

even

Beneil Dariush rounds

Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 9

Sig Strikes

9 / 21

55%

Sig Str %

42%

7 / 11

Total Strikes

9 / 21

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Beneil Dariush	9 / 21	9 / 21	0 / 0	1
1	Charlie Brenneman	5 / 9	7 / 11	0 / 1	0

Charlie Brenneman

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24