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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charles Radtke won · Decision R3
Elo1526
Elo1452
Francisco Prado

Charles RadtkevsFrancisco PradoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Charles Radtke won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Charles Radtke wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Charles Radtke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Francisco Prado enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Francisco Prado is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charles Radtke has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Charles Radtke has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Radtke
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Prado
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1526
Elo
1452
36
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles Radtke
oldest →
W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Feb 24
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Jun 24
W
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Nov 24
L
KOvs Mike Malott · May 25
W
SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25
latest
Francisco PradoL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Feb 23
W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Jul 23
L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24
L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25
L
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles RadtkeMetricFrancisco Prado
2.50
Strikes / min
3.68
2.45
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
0.76
100%
Takedown defense
40%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.05evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401465149015151540← oldermost recent →
Charles Radtke(7 fights)Francisco Prado(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +74.3|Blue -74.3
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Charles Radtke

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6

Francisco Prado

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5