Welterweight

3 Rounds

Carlos Prates won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1526

Elo1567

Charles RadtkevsCarlos PratesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Carlos Prates won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:47

Style matchupCharles Radtke: Well-roundedvsCarlos Prates: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Carlos Prates wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Carlos Prates wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Carlos Prates is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charles Radtke has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Charles Radtke has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Prates (52.9%).
Carlos Prates has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Radtke

Red Corner

Carlos Prates

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1526

Elo

1567

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

6'1"

182.88 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles RadtkeW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Feb 24

KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Nov 24

KOvs Mike Malott · May 25

SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25

DECvs Francisco Prado · Apr 26

latest

Carlos PratesW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Neil Magny · Nov 24

vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25

KOvs Leon Edwards · Nov 25

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles RadtkeMetricCarlos Prates

2.50

Strikes / min

4.41

2.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.30

54%

Strike defense

47%

1.99

TDs / 15 min

0.18

100%

Takedown defense

77%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.05evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charles RadtkeCarlos Prates

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charles Radtke(7 fights)Carlos Prates(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -41.2|Blue +41.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles RadtkeTargetCarlos Prates

By target zone

37% acc · 50%

Head

26% acc · 33%

75% acc · 21%

Body

40% acc · 27%

100% acc · 29%

Leg

86% acc · 40%

By position

50% acc · 93%

Distance

42% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charles Radtke rounds

even

Carlos Prates rounds

Round 1Carlos Prates edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:23

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 27

Sig Strikes

15 / 36

51%

Sig Str %

41%

33 / 48

Total Strikes

15 / 36

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Carlos Prates	15 / 36	15 / 36	0 / 0	0
1	Charles Radtke	14 / 27	33 / 48	0 / 2	0

Charles Radtke

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6

Carlos Prates

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights7