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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R1
Elo1521
Elo1371
Myles Jury

Charles OliveiravsMyles JuryUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · Saturday, December 19, 2015Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Charles Oliveira won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:05

Style matchupCharles Oliveira: WrestlervsMyles Jury: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Myles Jury wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Myles Jury at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Myles Jury has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Myles Jury
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
1521
Elo
1371
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24
W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24
L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25
W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25
W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26
latest
Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles OliveiraMetricMyles Jury
3.23
Strikes / min
2.94
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
48%
Strike defense
66%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
2.16
54%
Takedown defense
50%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1549 vs 1585Strikes23.9 vs 23.7Takedowns1.1 vs 1.9Sub Atts1.36 vs 0.29Form0.3 vs 0.3
Charles OliveiraMyles Jury

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +150.5|Blue -150.5
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -232.0|Blue +232.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles OliveiraTargetMyles Jury

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
3
21% acc · 60%
3
75% acc · 60%
Body
1
100% acc · 20%
2
100% acc · 40%
Leg
1
100% acc · 20%

By position

5
50% acc · 100%
Distance
5
31% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Charles Oliveira rounds
1
even
0
Myles Jury rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:12
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 10
Sig Strikes
5 / 16
50%
Sig Str %
31%
10 / 16
Total Strikes
5 / 16
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
1:37

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Myles Jury5 / 165 / 160 / 00
1Charles Oliveira5 / 1010 / 161 / 11

Charles Oliveira

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12