Featherweight

3 Rounds

Sean Woodson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1529

Elo1517

Charles JourdainvsSean WoodsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Saturday, January 20, 2024Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Sean Woodson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCharles Jourdain: Pressure fightervsSean Woodson: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sean Woodson wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Sean Woodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Woodson at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Charles Jourdain threatens submissions; Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Sean Woodson has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (52.9%).
Sean Woodson has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Jourdain

Red Corner

Sean Woodson

Blue Corner

-218

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1529

Elo

1517

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

6'2"

175.26 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles JourdainW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Sep 23

KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24

SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25

DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26

latest

Sean Woodson

oldest →

KOvs Collin Anglin · Nov 21

vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23

vs Alex Caceres · May 24

KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24

KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles JourdainMetricSean Woodson

5.36

Strikes / min

5.57

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

56%

Strike defense

58%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

0.58

46%

Takedown defense

84%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25evenly matched on net striking+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charles JourdainSean Woodson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charles Jourdain(10 fights)Sean Woodson(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.4|Blue -12.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles JourdainTargetSean Woodson

By target zone

19% acc · 32%

Head

41% acc · 74%

63% acc · 33%

Body

77% acc · 13%

81% acc · 35%

Leg

92% acc · 14%

By position

35% acc · 87%

Distance

45% acc · 88%

89% acc · 13%

Clinch

89% acc · 10%

Ground

67% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charles Jourdain rounds

even

Sean Woodson rounds

Round 1Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:05

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:08

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:45

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 156

Sig Strikes

80 / 168

38.3%

Sig Str %

47.7%

78 / 175

Total Strikes

102 / 193

0 / 4

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

1:58

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean Woodson	31 / 72	39 / 80	0 / 0	0
1	Charles Jourdain	18 / 51	20 / 53	0 / 1	0
2	Sean Woodson	28 / 51	41 / 67	0 / 1	0
2	Charles Jourdain	22 / 46	27 / 51	0 / 2	0
3	Sean Woodson	21 / 45	22 / 46	1 / 2	0
3	Charles Jourdain	20 / 59	31 / 71	0 / 1	1

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15

Sean Woodson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights9