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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jean Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1529

Elo1557

Charles JourdainvsJean SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Saturday, June 29, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jean Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:22

Style matchupCharles Jourdain: Pressure fightervsJean Silva: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jean Silva wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Jean Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jean Silva at +114 American odds

+$114 profit

$214 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jean Silva has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Charles Jourdain

Red Corner

Jean Silva

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+114

(47%)

1529

Elo

1557

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles JourdainW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Sep 23

vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24

SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25

DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26

latest

Jean Silva

oldest →

KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 24

KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 25

SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Apr 25

KOvs Diego Lopes · Sep 25

vs Arnold Allen · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles JourdainMetricJean Silva

5.36

Strikes / min

4.82

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

4.50

56%

Strike defense

53%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

1.20

46%

Takedown defense

78%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25evenly matched on net striking+0.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charles JourdainJean Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charles Jourdain(10 fights)Jean Silva(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -27.6|Blue +27.6

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles JourdainTargetJean Silva

By target zone

23% acc · 26%

Head

55% acc · 76%

79% acc · 48%

Body

100% acc · 21%

100% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

44% acc · 74%

Distance

45% acc · 41%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

84% acc · 47%

50% acc · 4%

Ground

80% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charles Jourdain rounds

even

Jean Silva rounds

Round 1Jean Silva edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control0:34

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jean Silva edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:43

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 46

Sig Strikes

34 / 55

50%

Sig Str %

72.5%

24 / 48

Total Strikes

35 / 56

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

45%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:17

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jean Silva	25 / 45	26 / 46	0 / 0
1	Charles Jourdain	20 / 40	20 / 41	2 / 5
2	Jean Silva	9 / 10	9 / 10	0 / 0
2	Charles Jourdain	3 / 6	4 / 7	1 / 2

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15

Jean Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights7