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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Charles Jourdain won · U-DEC R3

Elo1529

Elo1414

Charles JourdainvsAndre EwellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Saturday, December 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Charles Jourdain won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCharles Jourdain: Pressure fightervsAndre Ewell: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Charles Jourdain wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Charles Jourdain wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charles Jourdain at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andre Ewell has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (54.1%).
Andre Ewell has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Jourdain

Red Corner

Andre Ewell

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1529

Elo

1414

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles JourdainW3 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24

KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24

SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25

DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26

latest

Andre EwellL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Vera · Oct 19

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20

vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20

vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21

KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles JourdainMetricAndre Ewell

5.36

Strikes / min

4.28

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

4.87

56%

Strike defense

51%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

0.36

46%

Takedown defense

72%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charles JourdainAndre Ewell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charles Jourdain(10 fights)Andre Ewell(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +115.5|Blue -115.5

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles JourdainTargetAndre Ewell

By target zone

47% acc · 51%

Head

20% acc · 46%

85% acc · 25%

Body

64% acc · 29%

85% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

54% acc · 69%

Distance

33% acc · 98%

84% acc · 19%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

73% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charles Jourdain rounds

even

Andre Ewell rounds

Round 1Andre Ewell edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Charles Jourdain edged it

Sig. strikes60

Takedowns0

Control1:08

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Charles Jourdain edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns0

Control1:19

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

137 / 228

Sig Strikes

56 / 171

59.3%

Sig Str %

32%

150 / 246

Total Strikes

59 / 176

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:27

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Ewell	23 / 62	25 / 65	1 / 1
1	Charles Jourdain	25 / 43	28 / 46	0 / 0
2	Andre Ewell	18 / 55	19 / 56	0 / 0
2	Charles Jourdain	60 / 91	64 / 97	0 / 1
3	Andre Ewell	15 / 54	15 / 55	0 / 0
3	Charles Jourdain	52 / 94	58 / 103	0 / 1

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9