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Elo1507
Charles Johnson editorial illustration
Elo1518

Charles JohnsonvsJose OchoaUFC Prediction

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupCharles Johnson: Pressure fightervsJose Ochoa: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

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Tale of the Tape

Charles Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Jose Ochoa
Blue Corner
+286
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-367
(79%)
1507
Elo
1518
35
Age
25
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles Johnson
oldest →
W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25
L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26
W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Jun 26
W
SUBvs Eduardo Chapolin · Aug 26
latest
Jose Ochoa
oldest →
L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Nov 24
W
KOvs Cody Durden · Jun 25
L
vs Asu Almabayev · Jul 25
W
DECvs Clayton Carpenter · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles JohnsonMetricJose Ochoa
4.77
Strikes / min
5.16
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.30
69%
Takedown defense
65%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+2.17
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Jose Ochoa(4 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Decision.

KO / TKO44%

Historical win share: Jose Ochoa earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission11%

Historical win share: Charles Johnson earned 11% of wins by submission.

Decision45%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Charles Johnson

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17

Jose Ochoa

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4