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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Maki Pitolo won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1385
Charles Byrd
Elo1412

Charles ByrdvsMaki PitoloUFC Prediction Result

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Saturday, June 6, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maki Pitolo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:10

Style matchupCharles Byrd: WrestlervsMaki Pitolo: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Maki Pitolo wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Maki Pitolo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maki Pitolo at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maki Pitolo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Maki Pitolo is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charles Byrd has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Charles Byrd threatens submissions; Maki Pitolo has lost 40% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Byrd
Red Corner
VS
Maki Pitolo
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1385
Elo
1412
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles ByrdL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs John Phillips · Mar 18
L
KOvs Darren Stewart · Sep 18
L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Mar 19
latest
Maki PitoloL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Callan Potter · Oct 19
L
SUBvs Darren Stewart · Aug 20
L
vs Impa Kasanganay · Aug 20
L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Feb 21
L
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Dec 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles ByrdMetricMaki Pitolo
3.43
Strikes / min
4.10
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
55%
Strike defense
55%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
2.24
40%
Takedown defense
50%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1480Strikes3.9 vs 5.4Takedowns2.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.90 vs 0.90Form-0.6 vs -1.0
Charles ByrdMaki Pitolo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Charles Byrd(4 fights)Maki Pitolo(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -27.5|Blue +27.5
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles ByrdTargetMaki Pitolo

By target zone

10
42% acc · 91%
Head
20
42% acc · 69%
1
100% acc · 9%
Body
9
82% acc · 31%
0
Leg
0

By position

7
41% acc · 64%
Distance
16
41% acc · 55%
0
Clinch
5
100% acc · 17%
4
50% acc · 36%
Ground
8
53% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Charles Byrd rounds
0
even
1
Maki Pitolo rounds
Round 1Charles Byrd edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:54
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:44Control
Round 2Maki Pitolo edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:08Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
11 / 25
Sig Strikes
29 / 59
45%
Sig Str %
37.5%
16 / 31
Total Strikes
33 / 65
1 / 2
TDs
3 / 3
50%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
2:54
Ctrl Time
1:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Maki Pitolo2 / 106 / 162 / 20
1Charles Byrd5 / 1010 / 161 / 20
2Maki Pitolo27 / 4927 / 491 / 10
2Charles Byrd6 / 156 / 150 / 00

Charles Byrd

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Maki Pitolo

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6