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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chad Anheliger won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1493

Charalampos GrigoriouvsChad AnheligerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chad Anheliger won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Charalampos Grigoriou wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Chad Anheliger wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chad Anheliger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Charalampos Grigoriou has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Charalampos Grigoriou

Red Corner

Chad Anheliger

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1488

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charalampos Grigoriou

oldest →

SUBvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 24

latest

Chad AnheligerL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jesse Strader · Feb 22

vs Alatengheili · Sep 22

SUBvs Jose Johnson · Nov 23

vs Cody Gibson · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charalampos GrigoriouMetricChad Anheliger

2.62

Strikes / min

3.11

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

46%

Strike defense

53%

2.62

TDs / 15 min

0.68

90%

Takedown defense

38%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.35Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charalampos GrigoriouChad Anheliger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charalampos Grigoriou(2 fights)Chad Anheliger(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.4|Blue +5.4

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charalampos GrigoriouTargetChad Anheliger

By target zone

30% acc · 76%

Head

47% acc · 67%

29% acc · 10%

Body

77% acc · 12%

60% acc · 14%

Leg

90% acc · 21%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 80%

Clinch

100% acc · 14%

0% acc

Ground

83% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charalampos Grigoriou rounds

even

Chad Anheliger rounds

Round 1Charalampos Grigoriou edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:38

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:34Control

Round 2Chad Anheliger edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns3

Control3:46

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chad Anheliger edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 65

Sig Strikes

85 / 155

34%

Sig Str %

59.3%

26 / 70

Total Strikes

144 / 220

4 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

87.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:24

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chad Anheliger	8 / 15	25 / 33	0 / 1
1	Charalampos Grigoriou	9 / 21	14 / 26	1 / 1
2	Chad Anheliger	26 / 33	68 / 80	0 / 0
2	Charalampos Grigoriou	4 / 11	4 / 11	3 / 4
3	Chad Anheliger	51 / 107	51 / 107	0 / 1
3	Charalampos Grigoriou	8 / 33	8 / 33	0 / 0

Charalampos Grigoriou

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights2

Chad Anheliger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5