Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
5 Rounds
Yair Rodriguez won · KO/TKO R5
Elo1474
Chan Sung Jung
Elo1504
Yair Rodriguez

Chan Sung JungvsYair RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 10, 2018Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Yair Rodriguez won

KO/TKO · Round 5 · 4:59

Style matchupChan Sung Jung: Well-roundedvsYair Rodriguez: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Yair Rodriguez wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Yair Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yair Rodriguez at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chan Sung Jung is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Yair Rodriguez has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Chan Sung Jung
Red Corner
VS
Yair Rodriguez
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1474
Elo
1504
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chan Sung JungL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19
L
vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 21
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23
latest
Yair Rodriguez
oldest →
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23
L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24
W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chan Sung JungMetricYair Rodriguez
3.93
Strikes / min
4.65
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.71
72%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1552 vs 1569Strikes28.8 vs 51.1Takedowns1.0 vs 1.1Sub Atts0.80 vs 1.14Form1.0 vs 0.3
Chan Sung JungYair Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -30.1|Blue +30.1
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chan Sung JungTargetYair Rodriguez

By target zone

111
39% acc · 88%
Head
59
31% acc · 50%
9
64% acc · 7%
Body
24
63% acc · 20%
6
67% acc · 5%
Leg
36
84% acc · 30%

By position

114
39% acc · 90%
Distance
113
43% acc · 95%
12
80% acc · 10%
Clinch
6
67% acc · 5%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Chan Sung Jung rounds
1
even
1
Yair Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:01
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:47
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:02
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:08
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Yair Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
126 / 308
Sig Strikes
119 / 271
40.6%
Sig Str %
44.4%
130 / 312
Total Strikes
129 / 281
0 / 5
TDs
0 / 4
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:58
Ctrl Time
0:19

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yair Rodriguez23 / 4123 / 410 / 10
1Chan Sung Jung30 / 6731 / 680 / 10
2Yair Rodriguez23 / 4533 / 550 / 20
2Chan Sung Jung22 / 5225 / 550 / 40
3Yair Rodriguez22 / 5922 / 590 / 00
3Chan Sung Jung24 / 6724 / 670 / 00
4Chan Sung Jung25 / 5825 / 580 / 00
4Yair Rodriguez19 / 5319 / 530 / 00
5Yair Rodriguez32 / 7332 / 730 / 10
5Chan Sung Jung25 / 6425 / 640 / 00

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12

Yair Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15