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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chan Sung Jung won · SUB R2
Elo1474
Chan Sung Jung
Elo1352
Leonard Garcia

Chan Sung JungvsLeonard GarciaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Saturday, March 26, 2011Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Chan Sung Jung won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Leonard Garcia wins(76.7%)

Actual result: Chan Sung Jung wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leonard Garcia at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Leonard Garcia enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Chan Sung Jung has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Chan Sung Jung has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chan Sung Jung
Red Corner
VS
Leonard Garcia
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1474
Elo
1352
39
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chan Sung JungL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19
L
vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 21
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23
latest
Leonard GarciaL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Nam Phan · Dec 10
L
vs Nam Phan · Oct 11
L
vs Matt Grice · Jun 12
L
vs Max Holloway · Dec 12
L
vs Cody McKenzie · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chan Sung JungMetricLeonard Garcia
3.93
Strikes / min
2.77
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.30
72%
Takedown defense
42%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-2.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1516Strikes— vs 28.3Takedowns— vs 0.5Sub Atts— vs 0.75Form0.0 vs 1.0
Chan Sung JungLeonard Garcia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)Leonard Garcia(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +121.7|Blue -121.7
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +48.8|Blue -48.8
Grappler Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chan Sung JungTargetLeonard Garcia

By target zone

22
24% acc · 73%
Head
10
13% acc · 67%
2
100% acc · 7%
Body
2
67% acc · 13%
6
75% acc · 20%
Leg
3
33% acc · 20%

By position

20
24% acc · 67%
Distance
13
16% acc · 87%
2
100% acc · 7%
Clinch
2
50% acc · 13%
8
57% acc · 27%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Chan Sung Jung rounds
0
even
0
Leonard Garcia rounds
Round 1Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:33
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:09
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
30 / 100
Sig Strikes
15 / 87
29.5%
Sig Str %
17%
47 / 119
Total Strikes
16 / 88
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 1
50%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:42
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Leonard Garcia9 / 409 / 400 / 00
1Chan Sung Jung17 / 4924 / 581 / 10
2Leonard Garcia6 / 477 / 480 / 10
2Chan Sung Jung13 / 5123 / 610 / 11

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12

Leonard Garcia

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6