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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chad Laprise won · U-DEC R3

Elo1369

Elo1355

Chad LaprisevsYosdenis CedenoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Chad Laprise won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Chad Laprise wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yosdenis Cedeno is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chad Laprise has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Chad Laprise has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Laprise

Red Corner

Yosdenis Cedeno

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1369

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad LapriseL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16

KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17

KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17

KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18

latest

Yosdenis Cedeno

oldest →

vs Ernest Chavez · Feb 14

KOvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 14

vs Cody Pfister · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad LapriseMetricYosdenis Cedeno

4.78

Strikes / min

1.64

3.59

Strikes absorbed / min

1.60

65%

Strike defense

67%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

0.00

78%

Takedown defense

31%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.19Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chad LapriseYosdenis Cedeno

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chad Laprise(10 fights)Yosdenis Cedeno(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.3|Blue -14.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad LapriseTargetYosdenis Cedeno

By target zone

28% acc · 51%

Head

8% acc · 35%

67% acc · 11%

Body

50% acc · 24%

100% acc · 37%

Leg

70% acc · 41%

By position

40% acc · 86%

Distance

14% acc · 71%

63% acc · 14%

Clinch

83% acc · 29%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chad Laprise rounds

even

Yosdenis Cedeno rounds

Round 1Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:19

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:05

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 3Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns2

Control1:12

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 83

Sig Strikes

17 / 94

40%

Sig Str %

18.7%

55 / 106

Total Strikes

26 / 107

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

61%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:36

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yosdenis Cedeno	6 / 27	10 / 32	0 / 1
1	Chad Laprise	5 / 22	11 / 29	1 / 2
2	Yosdenis Cedeno	4 / 21	9 / 29	0 / 0
2	Chad Laprise	6 / 12	11 / 17	1 / 3
3	Yosdenis Cedeno	7 / 46	7 / 46	0 / 0
3	Chad Laprise	24 / 49	33 / 60	2 / 2

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Yosdenis Cedeno

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4