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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chad Laprise won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1369

Elo1368

Chad LaprisevsThibault GoutiUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · Saturday, August 27, 2016Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Chad Laprise won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:36

Style matchupChad Laprise: Pressure fightervsThibault Gouti: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(77.9%)

Actual result: Chad Laprise wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Thibault Gouti is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chad Laprise has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Chad Laprise has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Laprise

Red Corner

Thibault Gouti

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1369

Elo

1368

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad LapriseL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ross Pearson · Mar 16

KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17

KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17

KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18

latest

Thibault GoutiL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Teemu Packalen · Feb 16

SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16

KOvs Andrew Holbrook · Sep 17

vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad LapriseMetricThibault Gouti

4.78

Strikes / min

3.68

3.59

Strikes absorbed / min

5.64

65%

Strike defense

50%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.23

78%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.19Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap-1.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chad LapriseThibault Gouti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chad Laprise(10 fights)Thibault Gouti(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +3.0|Blue -3.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad LapriseTargetThibault Gouti

By target zone

45% acc · 82%

Head

14% acc · 50%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

48% acc · 59%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

40% acc · 12%

Clinch

56% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chad Laprise rounds

even

Thibault Gouti rounds

Round 1Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:31

Knockdowns2

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 35

Sig Strikes

4 / 16

48%

Sig Str %

25%

22 / 40

Total Strikes

4 / 16

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Thibault Gouti	4 / 16	4 / 16	0 / 0	0
1	Chad Laprise	17 / 35	22 / 40	0 / 0	0

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Thibault Gouti

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6