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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dhiego Lima won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1369

Elo1403

Chad LaprisevsDhiego LimaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 8, 2018Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Dhiego Lima won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:37

Style matchupChad Laprise: Pressure fightervsDhiego Lima: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Dhiego Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at -400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chad Laprise is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dhiego Lima has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Dhiego Lima has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Laprise

Red Corner

Dhiego Lima

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1369

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad Laprise

oldest →

vs Ross Pearson · Mar 16

KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16

KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17

KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17

KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18

latest

Dhiego LimaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yushin Okami · Apr 18

vs Court McGee · Apr 19

vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19

vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21

KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad LapriseMetricDhiego Lima

4.78

Strikes / min

3.12

3.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.88

65%

Strike defense

58%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.26

78%

Takedown defense

73%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.19Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chad LapriseDhiego Lima

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chad Laprise(10 fights)Dhiego Lima(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.3|Blue +33.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad LapriseTargetDhiego Lima

By target zone

22% acc · 25%

Head

17% acc · 80%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 75%

Leg

0% acc

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

20% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chad Laprise rounds

even

Dhiego Lima rounds

Round 1Dhiego Lima edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 16

Sig Strikes

5 / 25

50%

Sig Str %

20%

8 / 16

Total Strikes

5 / 25

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dhiego Lima	5 / 25	5 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Chad Laprise	8 / 16	8 / 16	0 / 0	0

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11