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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chad Laprise won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1369
Chad Laprise
Elo1364

Chad LaprisevsBrian CamozziUFC Prediction Result

UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Saturday, July 8, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chad Laprise won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:27

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Chad Laprise wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chad Laprise is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brian Camozzi has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Chad Laprise has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Chad Laprise has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Brian Camozzi has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Laprise
Red Corner
VS
Brian Camozzi
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
1369
Elo
1364
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad LapriseL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Ross Pearson · Mar 16
W
KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16
W
KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17
L
KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18
L
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18
latest
Brian CamozziL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Randy Brown · Dec 16
L
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad LapriseMetricBrian Camozzi
4.78
Strikes / min
3.15
3.59
Strikes absorbed / min
6.39
65%
Strike defense
54%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.00
78%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.19Δ 4.43 — meaningful gap-3.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1482Strikes48.8 vs 11.0Takedowns0.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form0.2 vs -1.0
Chad LapriseBrian Camozzi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Chad Laprise(10 fights)Brian Camozzi(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +5.3|Blue -5.3
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +104.0|Blue -104.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad LapriseTargetBrian Camozzi

By target zone

31
24% acc · 41%
Head
29
18% acc · 62%
33
83% acc · 43%
Body
9
82% acc · 19%
12
100% acc · 16%
Leg
9
82% acc · 19%

By position

64
39% acc · 84%
Distance
47
26% acc · 100%
5
83% acc · 7%
Clinch
0
7
78% acc · 9%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Chad Laprise rounds
0
even
1
Brian Camozzi rounds
Round 1Chad Laprise edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control0:26
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brian Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chad Laprise edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
76 / 179
Sig Strikes
47 / 182
42.3%
Sig Str %
23.7%
78 / 181
Total Strikes
48 / 183
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:31
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Brian Camozzi20 / 7421 / 750 / 00
1Chad Laprise36 / 7438 / 761 / 10
2Brian Camozzi22 / 8022 / 800 / 00
2Chad Laprise20 / 6420 / 640 / 00
3Brian Camozzi5 / 285 / 280 / 00
3Chad Laprise20 / 4120 / 410 / 00

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10

Brian Camozzi

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3