Skip to content
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Gibson won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Chad Anheliger
Elo1458
Cody Gibson

Chad AnheligervsCody GibsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Cody Gibson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Gibson wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Cody Gibson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Cody Gibson has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Cody Gibson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Anheliger
Red Corner
VS
Cody Gibson
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1493
Elo
1458
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
162.56 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad Anheliger
oldest →
W
KOvs Jesse Strader · Feb 22
L
vs Alatengheili · Sep 22
L
SUBvs Jose Johnson · Nov 23
W
vs Charalampos Grigoriou · Mar 24
latest
Cody GibsonL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Miles Johns · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25
L
KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25
L
SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad AnheligerMetricCody Gibson
3.11
Strikes / min
3.63
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
2.12
38%
Takedown defense
69%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.35evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1460Strikes3.1 vs 3.5Takedowns0.7 vs 2.2Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.70Form0.1 vs -0.1
Chad AnheligerCody Gibson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Chad Anheliger(5 fights)Cody Gibson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +35.3|Blue -35.3
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad AnheligerTargetCody Gibson

By target zone

8
50% acc · 73%
Head
15
54% acc · 94%
0
Body
0
0% acc
3
100% acc · 27%
Leg
1
25% acc · 6%

By position

11
58% acc · 100%
Distance
6
27% acc · 38%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
10
83% acc · 63%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Chad Anheliger rounds
0
even
3
Cody Gibson rounds
Round 1Cody Gibson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:37Control
Round 2Cody Gibson edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:39Control
Round 3Cody Gibson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
11 / 19
Sig Strikes
16 / 34
40.3%
Sig Str %
49.3%
59 / 77
Total Strikes
59 / 93
0 / 0
TDs
5 / 6
TD %
83.3%
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
12:25

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cody Gibson4 / 1623 / 352 / 21
1Chad Anheliger5 / 913 / 190 / 00
2Cody Gibson9 / 1127 / 401 / 21
2Chad Anheliger0 / 19 / 140 / 00
3Cody Gibson3 / 79 / 182 / 20
3Chad Anheliger6 / 937 / 440 / 00

Chad Anheliger

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights5

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11