Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Mitchell enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Simeon Thoresen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Simeon Thoresen has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Simeon Thoresen
oldest →W
SUBvs Besam Yousef · Apr 12L
KOvs Seth Baczynski · Sep 12 David MitchellL4 streak
oldest →L
vs TJ Waldburger · Sep 10L
vs Paulo Thiago · Aug 11L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Jul 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Simeon ThoresenMetricDavid Mitchell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Simeon ThoresenDavid Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Simeon Thoresen(3 fights)David Mitchell(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -392.0|Blue +392.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Simeon ThoresenTargetDavid Mitchell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Simeon Thoresen edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:04
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2David Mitchell edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control1:38
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:35Control
Round 3David Mitchell edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control1:55
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
