Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brad Tavares has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil BaroniNo prior UFC fights on record.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil BaroniMetricBrad Tavares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Phil BaroniBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Baroni(1 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +9.4|Blue -9.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Phil BaroniTargetBrad Tavares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:49
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
