Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- JJ Aldrich has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney Casey
oldest →L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22 JJ AldrichW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23L
vs Veronica Hardy · May 24W
DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricJJ Aldrich
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cortney CaseyJJ Aldrich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -26.8|Blue +26.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cortney CaseyTargetJJ Aldrich
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cortney Casey edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:02
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 2JJ Aldrich edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:06Control
Round 3JJ Aldrich edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
