Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aleksei Kunchenko has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei KunchenkoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Yushin Okami · Dec 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Aug 19L
DECvs Elizeu Dos Santos · Mar 20 Thiago AlvesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 17L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei KunchenkoMetricThiago Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.84evenly matched on net striking+0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei KunchenkoThiago Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Kunchenko(4 fights)Thiago Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.3|Blue -3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +47.8|Blue -47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei KunchenkoTargetThiago Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Aleksei Kunchenko rounds
Round 1Thiago Alves edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Thiago Alves edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Aleksei Kunchenko edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
