Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Pedro Munhoz has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Hobar (53.5%).
- Matt Hobar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pedro MunhozL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23L
vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24 Matt Hobar
oldest →W
vs Aaron Phillips · Aug 14L
vs Sergio Pettis · Dec 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pedro MunhozMetricMatt Hobar
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pedro MunhozMatt Hobar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Matt Hobar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pedro MunhozTargetMatt Hobar
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pedro Munhoz edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control0:31
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
