Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Matt Frevola has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Matt Frevola has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Genaro Valdez · Jan 22W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24 Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricBenoit Saint Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt FrevolaBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -62.9|Blue +62.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt FrevolaTargetBenoit Saint Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control0:25
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
