Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Cormier has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20 Dan Henderson
oldest →L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricDan Henderson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.33Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel CormierDan Henderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -102.8|Blue +102.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel CormierTargetDan Henderson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:44
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control4:20
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control3:10
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
