Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geoff Neal has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricGeoff Neal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Neil MagnyGeoff Neal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Geoff Neal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.6|Blue -27.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -32.0|Blue +32.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Neil MagnyTargetGeoff Neal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Geoff Neal edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:33
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:36Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:49
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control0:21
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
