Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Darian Weeks has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan BarberenaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24 Darian WeeksL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Yohan Lainesse · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan BarberenaMetricDarian Weeks
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bryan BarberenaDarian Weeks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Barberena(10 fights)Darian Weeks(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.0|Blue -58.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bryan BarberenaTargetDarian Weeks
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darian Weeks edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:21
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 2Darian Weeks edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
49Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 3Bryan Barberena edged it
Sig. strikes55
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
