Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Rothwell has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Rothwell has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben RothwellL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21 Chris BarnettL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 21L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 22W
KOvs Jake Collier · Sep 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Oct 24L
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricChris Barnett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap-3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben RothwellChris Barnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Chris Barnett(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +11.0|Blue -11.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben RothwellTargetChris Barnett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control1:48
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:15
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
