Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yan Xiaonan has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yan Xiaonan
oldest →W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22W
KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25 Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Michelle Waterson · May 20W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yan XiaonanMetricCarla Esparza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.46Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yan XiaonanCarla Esparza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)Carla Esparza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yan XiaonanTargetCarla Esparza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:52Control
Round 2Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
