Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Ige has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryce MitchellW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23W
KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24L
SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25W
SUBvs Santiago Luna · Jun 26 Dan IgeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25L
vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryce MitchellMetricDan Ige
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bryce MitchellDan Ige
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +42.8|Blue -42.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bryce MitchellTargetDan Ige
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bryce Mitchell edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control1:56
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Bryce Mitchell edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:30
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Bryce Mitchell edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control3:07
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
