Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Lauzon has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19 Marcin Held
oldest →L
vs Diego Sanchez · Nov 16L
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · May 17W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricMarcin Held
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.55Δ 1.94 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe LauzonMarcin Held
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Marcin Held(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe LauzonTargetMarcin Held
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Lauzon edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:32
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:32Control
Round 2Marcin Held edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control0:35
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:39Control
Round 3Marcin Held edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:30
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:01Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
