Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fares Ziam enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Tom Nolan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Fares Ziam has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fares ZiamW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25 Tom NolanW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jan 24W
KOvs Victor Martinez · May 24W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Feb 25W
SUBvs Charlie Campbell · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fares ZiamMetricTom Nolan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.34evenly matched on net striking+1.14
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fares Ziam(10 fights)Tom Nolan(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -34.0|Blue +34.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fares ZiamTargetTom Nolan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tom Nolan edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:38
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 2Tom Nolan edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:49
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:10Control
Round 3Fares Ziam edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:40
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
