Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Pereira has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego SanchezL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Matt Brown · Nov 17W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20 Michel Pereira
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25L
DECvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricMichel Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego SanchezMichel Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Michel Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego SanchezTargetMichel Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:10
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
