Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
- John Hathaway has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Hathaway
oldest →W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14 John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HathawayMetricJohn Maguire
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.60Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John HathawayJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Hathaway(6 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.1|Blue -138.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John HathawayTargetJohn Maguire
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:01
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control4:09
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
