Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14 Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis CarmontMetricLorenz Larkin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.58evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francis CarmontLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Carmont(9 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.1|Blue +137.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francis CarmontTargetLorenz Larkin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lorenz Larkin edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:39
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lorenz Larkin edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:57
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Francis Carmont edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:40
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
