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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Melissa Gatto won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1481

Elo1492

Tamires VidalvsMelissa GattoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · Saturday, May 18, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Melissa Gatto won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:37

Model Prediction: Melissa Gatto wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Melissa Gatto wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Melissa Gatto enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Melissa Gatto has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Tamires Vidal

Red Corner

Melissa Gatto

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1481

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tamires VidalL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ramona Pascual · Nov 22

vs Montserrat Rendon · Sep 23

SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 24

latest

Melissa GattoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 21

KOvs Sijara Eubanks · Dec 21

vs Tracy Cortez · May 22

vs Ariane da Silva · Jul 23

DECvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tamires VidalMetricMelissa Gatto

2.91

Strikes / min

3.47

4.46

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

49%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.77

35%

Takedown defense

58%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.55Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tamires VidalMelissa Gatto

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tamires Vidal(4 fights)Melissa Gatto(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.9|Blue +11.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tamires VidalTargetMelissa Gatto

By target zone

33% acc · 47%

Head

43% acc · 43%

100% acc · 13%

Body

80% acc · 53%

100% acc · 40%

Leg

50% acc · 3%

By position

50% acc · 93%

Distance

55% acc · 73%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

20% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tamires Vidal rounds

even

Melissa Gatto rounds

Round 1Melissa Gatto edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:33Control

Round 2Melissa Gatto edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:53

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:25Control

Round 3Melissa Gatto edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 29

Sig Strikes

30 / 52

57%

Sig Str %

54.3%

50 / 66

Total Strikes

120 / 163

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 2

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

6:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Melissa Gatto	6 / 9	72 / 85	1 / 1	0
1	Tamires Vidal	3 / 3	32 / 34	0 / 0	1
2	Melissa Gatto	21 / 35	45 / 70	1 / 1	1
2	Tamires Vidal	11 / 20	17 / 26	0 / 0	0
3	Melissa Gatto	3 / 8	3 / 8	0 / 0	0
3	Tamires Vidal	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 0	0

Tamires Vidal

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4

Melissa Gatto

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6