Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Charles Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26 Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricPaul Felder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles OliveiraPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.6|Blue -129.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +99.0|Blue -99.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles OliveiraTargetPaul Felder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control2:17
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 2Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:34
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:58Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
