Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yadier del Valle threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Yadier del Valle has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan Leavitt
oldest →L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Jun 26 Yadier del ValleW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Connor Matthews · May 25W
SUBvs Isaac Dulgarian · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan LeavittMetricYadier del Valle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.62Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+1.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jordan LeavittYadier del Valle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)Yadier del Valle(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.1|Blue +7.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jordan LeavittTargetYadier del Valle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns3
Control4:04
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control3:02
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:51
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
