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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Mark Munoz won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
CB Dollaway
Elo1490

CB DollawayvsMark MunozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · Thursday, March 3, 2011Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Mark Munoz won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:54

Style matchupCB Dollaway: WrestlervsMark Munoz: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: CB Dollaway wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Mark Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

CB Dollaway at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • CB Dollaway has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

CB Dollaway
Red Corner
VS
Mark Munoz
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1491
Elo
1490
42
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

CB Dollaway
oldest →
L
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15
L
KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15
W
vs Ed Herman · Jul 17
W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 18
L
KOvs Khalid Murtazaliev · Sep 18
latest
Mark Munoz
oldest →
W
vs Tim Boetsch · Jul 13
L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13
L
SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14
L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15
W
vs Luke Barnatt · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

CB DollawayMetricMark Munoz
2.65
Strikes / min
3.12
2.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.26
54%
Strike defense
57%
3.55
TDs / 15 min
3.17
62%
Takedown defense
57%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1518Strikes11.1 vs 33.3Takedowns1.9 vs 1.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.33Form1.0 vs 0.3
CB DollawayMark Munoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
CB Dollaway(10 fights)Mark Munoz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

CB DollawayTargetMark Munoz

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
4
57% acc · 100%
1
50% acc · 50%
Body
0
1
100% acc · 50%
Leg
0

By position

1
25% acc · 50%
Distance
1
33% acc · 25%
0
Clinch
1
50% acc · 25%
1
100% acc · 50%
Ground
2
100% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
CB Dollaway rounds
0
even
1
Mark Munoz rounds
Round 1Mark Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:12
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 5
Sig Strikes
4 / 7
40%
Sig Str %
57%
2 / 5
Total Strikes
4 / 7
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mark Munoz4 / 74 / 70 / 00
1CB Dollaway2 / 52 / 51 / 10

CB Dollaway

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Mark Munoz

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12