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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cathal Pendred won · SUB R2
Elo1356
Elo1490

Cathal PendredvsMike KingUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Saturday, July 19, 2014Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Cathal Pendred won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:33

Style matchupCathal Pendred: WrestlervsMike King: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Mike King wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Cathal Pendred wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike King at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mike King has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Cathal Pendred has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Cathal Pendred
Red Corner
VS
Mike King
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1356
Elo
1490
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cathal PendredL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Gasan Umalatov · Oct 14
W
vs Sean Spencer · Jan 15
W
vs Augusto Montano · Jun 15
L
vs John Howard · Jul 15
L
KOvs Tom Breese · Oct 15
latest
Mike KingNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cathal PendredMetricMike King
2.49
Strikes / min
4.44
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
1.29
55%
Strike defense
72%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
1.75
83%
Takedown defense
40%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
3.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 3.67 — meaningful gap+3.15
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Cathal Pendred(6 fights)Mike King(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -134.7|Blue +134.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cathal PendredTargetMike King

By target zone

7
21% acc · 64%
Head
33
56% acc · 87%
3
60% acc · 27%
Body
3
75% acc · 8%
1
50% acc · 9%
Leg
2
100% acc · 5%

By position

9
24% acc · 82%
Distance
17
47% acc · 45%
1
50% acc · 9%
Clinch
5
100% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 9%
Ground
16
67% acc · 42%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Cathal Pendred rounds
0
even
1
Mike King rounds
Round 1Mike King edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control0:56
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:10Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Cathal Pendred edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control1:06
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
11 / 40
Sig Strikes
38 / 65
26.5%
Sig Str %
56.5%
16 / 46
Total Strikes
60 / 103
3 / 5
TDs
1 / 4
58%
TD %
16.5%
1
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
2:02
Ctrl Time
2:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mike King27 / 4448 / 811 / 32
1Cathal Pendred4 / 175 / 181 / 20
2Mike King11 / 2112 / 220 / 10
2Cathal Pendred7 / 2311 / 282 / 31

Cathal Pendred

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6

Mike King

Stance—
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights1