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Women's Featherweight
3 Rounds
Megan Anderson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Cat Zingano
Elo1493

Cat ZinganovsMegan AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Saturday, December 29, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Megan Anderson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Model Prediction: Cat Zingano wins(80.4%)

Actual result: Megan Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cat Zingano at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cat Zingano has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).
  • Megan Anderson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cat Zingano
Red Corner
VS
Megan Anderson
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1491
Elo
1493
44
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'0"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cat Zingano
oldest →
W
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Sep 14
L
SUBvs Ronda Rousey · Feb 15
L
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 16
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Mar 18
W
vs Marion Reneau · Jul 18
latest
Megan Anderson
oldest →
L
vs Holly Holm · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Felicia Spencer · May 19
W
SUBvs Zarah Fairn · Oct 19
W
KOvs Norma Dumont · Feb 20
L
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Mar 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cat ZinganoMetricMegan Anderson
2.57
Strikes / min
1.76
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
47%
Strike defense
37%
2.77
TDs / 15 min
0.52
42%
Takedown defense
53%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.94Δ 2.53 — meaningful gap-1.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1508 vs 1484Strikes29.7 vs 26.0Takedowns2.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.67 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -1.0
Cat ZinganoMegan Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Cat Zingano(7 fights)Megan Anderson(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cat ZinganoTargetMegan Anderson

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
2
25% acc · 67%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 33%
3
60% acc · 100%
Leg
0

By position

3
50% acc · 100%
Distance
3
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Cat Zingano rounds
1
even
0
Megan Anderson rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 6
Sig Strikes
3 / 9
50%
Sig Str %
33%
3 / 6
Total Strikes
3 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Megan Anderson3 / 93 / 90 / 00
1Cat Zingano3 / 63 / 60 / 00

Cat Zingano

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7

Megan Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6