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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ketlen Vieira won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1515

Cat ZinganovsKetlen VieiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCat Zingano: WrestlervsKetlen Vieira: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ketlen Vieira wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ketlen Vieira at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ketlen Vieira has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Cat Zingano

Red Corner

Ketlen Vieira

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1491

Elo

1515

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cat Zingano

oldest →

KOvs Amanda Nunes · Sep 14

SUBvs Ronda Rousey · Feb 15

vs Julianna Pena · Jul 16

vs Marion Reneau · Jul 18

KOvs Megan Anderson · Dec 18

latest

Ketlen Vieira

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23

vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24

vs Macy Chiasson · May 25

vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25

DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cat ZinganoMetricKetlen Vieira

2.57

Strikes / min

2.76

1.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.75

47%

Strike defense

50%

2.77

TDs / 15 min

1.33

42%

Takedown defense

90%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.94Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cat ZinganoKetlen Vieira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cat Zingano(7 fights)Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -23.2|Blue +23.2

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +427.0|Blue -427.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cat ZinganoTargetKetlen Vieira

By target zone

47% acc · 56%

Head

53% acc · 78%

68% acc · 29%

Body

75% acc · 15%

82% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

45% acc · 53%

Distance

40% acc · 41%

79% acc · 32%

Clinch

69% acc · 22%

69% acc · 15%

Ground

100% acc · 37%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cat Zingano rounds

even

Ketlen Vieira rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:36Control

Round 3Cat Zingano edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:14

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:50Control

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 106

Sig Strikes

41 / 71

57%

Sig Str %

63.3%

77 / 128

Total Strikes

96 / 139

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

10:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ketlen Vieira	17 / 39	28 / 53	0 / 0	0
1	Cat Zingano	22 / 45	24 / 47	0 / 2	0
2	Ketlen Vieira	15 / 18	39 / 45	1 / 1	1
2	Cat Zingano	9 / 14	14 / 23	0 / 0	0
3	Ketlen Vieira	9 / 14	29 / 41	1 / 1	0
3	Cat Zingano	28 / 47	39 / 58	0 / 0	0

Cat Zingano

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14