Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julianna Pena has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cat Zingano has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cat Zingano
oldest →W
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Sep 14L
SUBvs Ronda Rousey · Feb 15L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Mar 18W
vs Marion Reneau · Jul 18L
KOvs Megan Anderson · Dec 18 Julianna Pena
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cat ZinganoMetricJulianna Pena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.94evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cat ZinganoJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cat Zingano(7 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.9|Blue +4.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cat ZinganoTargetJulianna Pena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cat Zingano edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:15
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:13Control
Round 2Cat Zingano edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control3:15
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 3Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control4:34
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
