Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Luana Santos has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Casey O'Neill
oldest →W
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Oct 21W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 23L
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Dec 23W
KOvs Gabriella Fernandes · Mar 26 Luana SantosW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Stephanie Egger · Dec 23W
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jul 24W
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 25W
vs Melissa Croden · Dec 25W
DECvs Karol Rosa · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Casey O'NeillMetricLuana Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.36Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Casey O'NeillLuana Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Casey O'Neill(8 fights)Luana Santos(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.9|Blue +29.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Casey O'NeillTargetLuana Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 2Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:10
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 3Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control2:11
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
