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Flyweight
3 Rounds
6 days away
Elo1520
Casey O'Neill
Elo1502
Eduarda Moura

Casey O'NeillvsEduarda MouraUFC Prediction

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, September 19, 2026Los Angeles, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupCasey O'Neill: Pressure fightervsEduarda Moura: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

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Tale of the Tape

Casey O'Neill
Red Corner
VS
Eduarda Moura
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+144
(41%)
1520
Elo
1502
28
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Casey O'NeillW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 23
L
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Dec 23
W
vs Luana Santos · Aug 24
W
KOvs Gabriella Fernandes · Mar 26
latest
Eduarda Moura
oldest →
W
KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 23
L
vs Denise Gomes · Jun 24
W
vs Veronica Hardy · Nov 24
W
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 25
L
vs Wang Cong · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Casey O'NeillMetricEduarda Moura
7.89
Strikes / min
2.57
5.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.50
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
3.58
70%
Takedown defense
80%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.36Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap+0.07
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Casey O'Neill(8 fights)Eduarda Moura(5 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO56%

Historical win share: Casey O'Neill earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission44%

Historical win share: Casey O'Neill earned 17% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Casey O'Neill

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8

Eduarda Moura

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5