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Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tomorrow
Elo1542
Carli Judice
Elo1521

Carli JudicevsJeisla ChavesUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupCarli Judice: Pressure fightervsJeisla Chaves: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Carli Judice
Red Corner
VS
Jeisla Chaves
Blue Corner
-520
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
1542
Elo
1521
27
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Carli JudiceW3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Jun 24
W
KOvs Yuneisy Duben · Mar 25
W
KOvs Nicolle Caliari · Jul 25
W
vs Juliana Miller · Feb 26
latest
Jeisla Chaves
oldest →
W
DECvs Yuneisy Duben · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Carli JudiceMetricJeisla Chaves
9.32
Strikes / min
5.67
6.62
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
57%
Strike defense
60%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.70Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+1.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Carli Judice(4 fights)Jeisla Chaves(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +20.7|Blue -20.7
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -34.0|Blue +34.0
Grappler Score
Red -14.9|Blue +14.9
Layoff
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Carli Judice

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4

Jeisla Chaves

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2