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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cameron Saaiman won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1489

Elo1472

Cameron SaaimanvsTerrence MitchellUFC Prediction Result

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 8, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cameron Saaiman won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:10

Style matchupCameron Saaiman: Pressure fightervsTerrence Mitchell: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Cameron Saaiman wins(78.8%)

Actual result: Cameron Saaiman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cameron Saaiman at -620 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cameron Saaiman is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Terrence Mitchell has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Cameron Saaiman has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cameron Saaiman has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cameron Saaiman (53.5%).
Terrence Mitchell has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cameron Saaiman

Red Corner

Terrence Mitchell

Blue Corner

-620

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+460

(18%)

1489

Elo

1472

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

170.18 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cameron SaaimanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22

vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Oct 23

KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24

KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25

latest

Terrence Mitchell

oldest →

KOvs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cameron SaaimanMetricTerrence Mitchell

5.30

Strikes / min

2.21

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

8.85

51%

Strike defense

41%

0.89

TDs / 15 min

3.69

47%

Takedown defense

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 7.80 — meaningful gap-6.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cameron SaaimanTerrence Mitchell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)Terrence Mitchell(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.2|Blue -16.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cameron SaaimanTargetTerrence Mitchell

By target zone

52% acc · 83%

Head

43% acc · 100%

100% acc · 17%

Body

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

0% acc

67% acc · 22%

Clinch

67% acc · 67%

58% acc · 78%

Ground

100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cameron Saaiman rounds

even

Terrence Mitchell rounds

Round 1Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control1:37

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 32

Sig Strikes

3 / 7

56%

Sig Str %

42%

23 / 38

Total Strikes

6 / 11

2 / 2

TDs

1 / 2

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:37

Ctrl Time

1:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Terrence Mitchell	3 / 7	6 / 11	1 / 2	0
1	Cameron Saaiman	18 / 32	23 / 38	2 / 2	1

Cameron Saaiman

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Terrence Mitchell

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights2